Red av stormen

Hi Fritz,
At 1230 UTC, we are sailing/motoring with SW wind at 10 kts. Posn. S40 17,1 W 60 15,2. All is well.
We tried to reach shelter at Bahia San Bas last night with ETA 2300 UTC. Then the storm hit at 1800hrs from NNE, with 45 kts  gusts. We dropped the main and reached with roller reefed genoa only. Waves were building and we understood that it would be too dangerous to enter the harbor with the shallow entrance. So we turned to ride out the storm in the open. The next weather hit at 2100 UTC, but not as strongly as the first. At 1900 UTC it gets weaker, and we put on cutter jib and trysail to be prepared for the next depressions. But they did not happen and we had a peaceful night with little wind and a lot of swell. Looks like everything happened earlier than predicted.
We expect to reach Mar del Plata tomorrow before dark.
Regards,
Svenning


Hi Svenning,
The 12 utc run shows that the system is more active again. The stronger winds on wednesday 14/3 are now more to the east (53°W). The front is coming a little faster: between 00 and 03 utc, you are behind
it on 06 utc.

The wind on your estimated position (S 40° 00' W 60° 45'):
Today: 18 utc NE 20 kts Low Nw of Bahia Blanca, 21 utc NE 25 kts
Monday 12/3: 00 utc NE 35 kt (gusts up to 45-50 kts), 03 utc: NNE 25-30
kts (gust up to 40-45 kts) at this time the front is on top of you and
thye center of the low is to the north of you!
06 utc: you are behind the front WNW 20 kts
09 utc SW 20 kts
From then on: SW -WSW 15-20 kts
Tuesday 13/3: SW 10 kts -> SW 25 kts
Wednesday 14/3: the stronger windfield has moced more to the east (53°W):
SW 20 kts -> SE 15 kts

Let me know as soon as possible how it went.
Be careful!
Greetz,
Fritz