Weather Forecast Anne Mari -13 August- day 5

Værtjeneste for Anne Mari

General situation
The center of the anticyclone of the Azores (1026hPa) is positioned near N33/W40 and extends Southwards to N14-15. This means the cyclonic activity is kept South of N13-12. The center of the high is moving Westwards (Sunday at 12utc it is positioned at N33/W45) which leads to the weakening of the wind over the last leg towards the Cape Verdes. This weakening wind starts near the African coast and expands towards the West. So to keep a little longer the pressure in the sails it would be wise to choose for a heading that is a little more West. Waypoint: N19.5/W22.5 on 16Aug12/15utc. At this time, all that is East of this point has weak or no winds.
the best would be if you could arrive in CV on the 16th.
It looks like a lot of moisture is trapped below the inversion. This possibly could lead to mist or low cloud patches, i think it is too windy for fog.

Day 1: 13 Aug:
Expected track: 24.5/-17.2 to 23.3/-18.0
Weather: sunny with high moisture content in the lower levels (mist or low clouds?)
Wind: 020-040°/16-20kt gusts 28-30kt, after 12/15utc 360-020/18-23kt gusts 32kt
Swell-Waves: from N to NNE, average height: 2mr,  rising a little to 2-2.5mr.
Remarks/warnings/strategy: except from a little backing of the surface wind, no major changes. The influence of the islands is becoming further getting less so the windwaves are gradually growing.

Day 2: 14 Aug:
Expected track: 23.3/-18.0 to 22.1/-19.0
Weather: sunny with high moisture content in the lower levels (mist or low clouds?)
Wind: 010-030°/18-23kt gusts 30-32kt - slightly backing to 360-020°
Swell-Waves: from N to NNE average height 2.5 mr, wind waves - no significant change
Remarks/warnings/strategy: stable conditions - no significant changes

Day 3: 15 Aug:
Expected track: 22.1/-19.0 to 20.9/20.0
Weather: sunny/scattered high clouds (instability), with high moisture content in the lower levels (mist or low clouds?)
Wind: 360-020°/18-22kt gusts 30kt - after 06/09utc becoming 010-030/14-16kt after 21/24utc further decreasing
Swell-Waves: from NNE to NE average height 2 - 2.5mr, gradually becoming 1.5 - 2mr
Remarks/warnings/strategy: to avoid the weakening wind that comes in from the East, head a little more to the West (as indicated in the introduction)

Day 4: 16 Aug:
Expected track: 20.9/20.0 to 19.8/21.0
Weather: sunny/scattered high clouds (instability), the low level moisture is decreasing.
Wind: 030-050°/6-10kt gradually becoming less than 5kt from variable directions
Swell-Waves: from NNE to NE average height 1 - 1.5mr. Incoming swell from S along African coast-from coast to ca W22.
Remarks/warnings/strategy: also to avoid the Southerly swell it would be wise to go as West as possible.

Further Outlook (use carefully as confidence on such a long term is very low)
The lull in the wind lasts till approximately early on the 18th, than the wind picks up again, initially from NW, veering to NE.